Warning! This blog may contain film spoilers!

Thursday, May 9, 2013

Weekend Preview: Stark vs Gatsby

Iron Man 3 exceeded expectations last weekend by earning $174 million and claiming the second highest grossing weekend of all time. The question this week is whether Baz Luhrmann's Jazz Age millionaire can compete against the beloved "genius, billionaire, playboy, philanthropist." Tyler Perry Presents Peeples also hits the big screen this weekend, but I would imagine most of the partying will be in the other auditoriums. And Matthew McConaughey's well-performing Mud expands nationwide to 853 theaters.


Though anticipation is high for Gatsby, I don't see it being high enough to outperform Iron Man, or even get close unfortunately. Iron Man should see around a fifty percent drop in gross from last weekend, which would still put it above $80 million for this weekend. To contrast, Luhrmann's best opening weekend so far was Australia's $14.8 million. I do believe Gatsby should have a chance at doubling that number, but anything above $40 million is probably out of reach. Hopefully foreign audiences are also willing to shell out for the razzle dazzle, or else Luhrmann is going to have a hard time paying for this $127 million party.

Tyler Perry is back again this weekend for his second outing of the year, though he probably only paid to have his name slapped in front of this ones title. From writer/director Tina Gordon Chism, Peeples will court around two thousand theaters this weekend. Peeples' synopsis brings to mind 2000's Meet the Parents, though I doubt even Tyler Perry's name will be enough to match that film's $28.6 million opening weekend. His comedies always fare better than his dramas though, so an opening weekend in the low-twenties shouldn't be out of reach.

Lastly, Matthew McConaughey's Mud is set to expand nationwide this weekend after having grossed $5 million through ten days of limited release. It should easily match that this weekend on its way to a $15-$20 million final haul.

Are you in line for Gatsby's glittering glamor, or would you rather just see Iron Man again? I'm going to be in the theater a lot this week and next: I'm seeing Iron Man tonight, Gatsby on Monday, and then Star Trek Into Darkness on Wednesday.

Tune in next week for Star Trek, because it's Star Trek. (And if you don't, I'll summon JJ to sacrifice your pet goldfish to the ghost of Gene Roddenberry.)

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