Monsters University easily became Pixar's second highest opening film ever (behind Toy Story 3) with an $82 million opening weekend. Even with positive audience responses, the prequel has no chance of getting close to Monsters, Inc.'s second weekend decline of 27.2%. A second weekend gross around $50 million is most likely, which should keep it on track toward matching its predecessor's final domestic gross of $255 million.
My pick for second place is, surprisingly, White House Down. I'm getting tired of Roland Emmerich's fixation on destroying the White House, but he has somehow manage to keep making money doing it. Though they were used heavily in Sony's ad campaign, White House Down won't reach the opening grosses of Independence Day ($50 million), The Day After Tomorrow ($68 million), or 2012 ($65 million). An opening in the upper thirty millions seems most likely at this point.
As for The Heat, the best comparisons are probably McCarthy's recent hits Identity Thief and Bridesmaids. An opening weekend between that of those two films ($34 million and $26 million, respectively) would be a decent start for the $43 million production.
Tune in next week for some Fourth of July fireworks as Despicable Me 2 and The Lone Ranger battle for first place, Kevin Hart: Let Me Explain opens nationwide, and Fox Searchlight's The Way, Way Back opens in limited release.
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