Oscar Predictions 2017

Past years' predictions and winners: 2014, 2015, 2016

Who's ready for some way too early Oscar Predictions?

This list is definitely a work in progress and is mostly guesswork and some wishful thinking. However it will hopefully become more accurate as we get closer to February 26, 2017. Feel free to comment below and let me know who you think will be nominated!

And to help make this less confusing: Strikethrough = no longer a contender/not nominated. Blue Highlight = my current top pics. Red highlight = nomination that I didn't predict. *Asterisk* = predicted winner. Bold = winner.

(Updated 2/26/17)

Best Picture
20th Century Women
Allied
American Honey
Arrival
The BFG
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
The Birth of a Nation
Fences
The Founder
Free State of Jones
Hail, Caesar!
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
Jackie
*La La Land*
The Light Between Oceans
Lion
Live by Night
Loving
Manchester by the Sea
Midnight Special
Moonlight
Nocturnal Animals
Passengers
Silence
Snowden
Sully

Directing
Ben Affleck - Live by Night
Andrea Arnold - American Honey
Tim Burton - Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children
*Damien Chazelle - La La Land*
Derek Cianfrance - The Light Between Oceans
Clint Eastwood - Sully
Joel and Ethan Coen - Hail, Caesar!
Tom Ford - Nocturnal Animals
Jodie Foster - Money Monster
Mel Gibson - Hacksaw Ridge
Jim Jarmusch - Paterson
Barry Jenkins - Moonlight
Pablo Larraín - Jackie
Ang Lee - Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
John Lee Hancock - The Founder
Kenneth Lonergan - Manchester by the Sea
Jeff Nichols - Loving
Martin Scorsese - Silence
Steven Spielberg - The BFG
Oliver Stone - Snowden
Tate Taylor - The Girl on the Train
Morten Tyldum - Passengers
Jean-Marc Vallée - Demolition
Denis Villeneuve - Arrival
Taika Waititi - Hunt for the Wilderpeople
Denzel Washington - Fences
Robert Zemeckis - Allied

Actor in a Leading Role
Ben Affleck - Live by Night
Casey Affleck - Manchester By The Sea
Don Cheadle - Miles Ahead
Josh Brolin - Hail, Caesar!
Adam Driver - Paterson
Joel Edgerton - Loving
Michael Fassbender - The Light Between Oceans
Colin Firth - Genius
Andrew Garfield - Hacksaw Ridge
Andrew Garfield - Silence
Joseph Gordon-Levitt - Snowden
Ryan Gosling - La La Land
Jake Gyllenhaal - Demolition
Jake Gyllenhaal - Nocturnal Animals
Tom Hanks - Sully
Tom Hiddleston - I Saw the Light
Michael Keaton - The Founder
Matthew McConaughey - Free State of Jones
Viggo Mortensen - Captain Fantastic
Jack O'Connell - Money Monster
Brad Pitt - Allied
Chris Pratt - Passengers
Michael Shannon - Midnight Special
*Denzel Washington - Fences*

Actress in a Leading Role
Amy Adams - Arrival
Amy Adams - Nocturnal Animals
Annette Bening - 20th Century Women
Emily Blunt - The Girl on the Train
Marion Cotillard - Allied
Eva Green - Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children
Taraji P. Henson - Hidden Figures
Isabelle Huppert - Elle
Jennifer Lawrence - Passengers
Rooney Mara - Lion
Ruth Negga - Loving
Natalie Portman - Jackie
*Emma Stone - La La Land*
Meryl Streep - Florence Foster Jenkins
Tilda Swinton - A Bigger Splash
Alicia Vikander - The Light Between Oceans

Actor in a Supporting Role
*Mahershala Ali - Moonlight*
Jeff Bridges - Hell or High Water
George Clooney - Money Monster
Adam Driver - Silence
Ralph Fiennes - A Bigger Splash
Laurence Fishburn - Passengers
Hugh Grant - Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges - Manchester by the Sea
Samuel L. Jackson - Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children
Judah Lewis - Demolition
Jaeden Lieberher - Midnight Special
Liam Neeson - Silence
David Oyelowo - Queen of Katwe
Dev Patel - Lion
Michael Shannon - Nocturnal Animals

Actress in a Supporting Role
*Viola Davis - Fences*
Laura Dern - The Founder
Naomie Harris - Moonlight
Felicity Jones - A Monster Calls
Nicole Kidman - Lion
Lupita Nyong’o - Queen of Katwe
Octavia Spencer - Hidden Figures
Tilda Swinton - Hail, Caesar!
Naomi Watts - Demolition
Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
A Bigger Splash - David Kajganich
A Monster Calls - Patrick Ness
Arrival - Eric Heisserer
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - Simon Beaufoy, Jean-Christophe Castelli
The BFG - Melissa Mathison
Fences - August Wilson
Genius - John Logan
The Girl on the Train - Erin Cressida Wilson
Hidden Figures - Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi
Hunt for the Wilderpeople - Taika Waititi
The Light Between Oceans - Derek Cianfrance
Lion - Luke Davies
Live by Night - Ben Affleck
Loving - Jeff Nichols
*Moonlight - Barry Jenkins*
Nocturnal Animals - Tom Ford
Silence - Jay Cocks, Martin Scorsese
Snowden - Kieran Fitzgerlad, Oliver Stone

Writing (Original Screenplay)
20th Century Women - Mike Mills
Allied - Steven Knight
American Honey - Andrea Arnold
Captain Fantastic - Matt Ross
Hail, Caesar! - Joel and Ethan Coen
Hell or High Water - Taylor Sheridan
Jackie - Noah Oppenheim
*La La Land - Damien Chazelle*
Manchester by the Sea - Kenneth Lonergan
Midnight Special - Jeff Nichols
The Lobster - Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou
Passengers - Jon Spaihts

Cinematography
Allied - Don Burgess
Arrival - Bradford Young
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - John Toll
Hail, Caesar! - Roger Deakins
Jason Bourne - Barry Ackroyd
Knight of Cups - Emmanuel Lubezki
La La Land - Linus Sandgren
Lion - Greig Fraser
Live by Night - Robert Richardson
Loving or Midnight Special - Adam Stone
*Moonlight - James Laxton*
Passengers - Rodrigo Prieto
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - Greig Fraser
Silence - Rodrigo Prieto
Snowden - Anthony Dod Mantle
Star Trek Beyond - Stephen F. Windon

Film Editing
Arrival - Joe Walker
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - Tim Squyres
Hacksaw Ridge - John Gilbert
Hail, Caesar! - Joel and Ethan Coen
Hell or High Water - Jake Roberts
*La La Land - Tom Cross*
Live by Night - William Goldenberg
Loving or Midnight Special - Julie Monroe
Moonlight - Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders
Passengers - Maryann Brandon
Silence - Thelma Schoonmaker

Production Design
Allied
Alice Through the Looking Glass - Dan Hennah, Anna Lynch-Robinson, Ra Vincent
Arrival - Patrice Vermette (Production Design); Paul Hotte (Set Decoration)
Assassin's Creed
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice - Patrick Tatopoulos, Carolyn Loucks
Captain America: Civil War
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Stuart Craig (Production Design); Anna Pinnock (Set Decoration)
Fences - David Gropman
Hacksaw Ridge
*Hail, Caesar! - Jess Gonchor (Production Design); Nancy Haigh (Set Decoration)*
Jackie
La La Land - David Wasco (Production Design); Sandy Reynolds-Wasco (Set Decoration)
Live by Night - Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
Passengers - Guy Hendrix Dyas (Production Design); Gene Serdena (Set Decoration)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - Doug Chiang, Neil Lamont
Silence - Francesca Lo Schiavo
Star Trek Beyond - Scott Chambliss, Thomas E. Sanders
X-Men: Apocalypse - Grant Major, Anne Kuljian

Costume Design
Alice Through the Looking Glass - Colleen Atwood
Allied - Joanna Johnston
Assassin's Creed - Sammy Sheldon
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice - Michael Wilkinson
Captain America: Civil War - Judianna Makovsky
Captain Fantastic
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Colleen Atwood
Fences - Sharen Davis
Florence Foster Jenkins - Consolata Boyle
Hail, Caesar! - Mary Zophres
The Huntsman Winter's War - Colleen Atwood
*Jackie - Madeline Fantaine*
La La Land - Mary Zophres
Live by Night - Jacqueline West
Nocturnal Animals - Arianne Phillips
Silence - Dante Ferretti
Star Trek Beyond - Sanja Milkovic Hays

Makeup and Hairstyling
Alice Through the Looking Glass - Peter King
Deadpool
The Dressmaker
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Hacksaw Ridge
Hail, Caesar!
Jackie
A Man Called Ove - Eva von Bahr and Love Larson
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence
*Star Trek Beyond - Joel Harlow and Richard Alonzo*
Suicide Squad - Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini and Christopher Nelson

Music (Original Score)
10 Cloverfield Lane - Bear McCreary
Alice Through the Looking Glass - Danny Elfman
Allied - Alan Silvestri
Arrival - Jóhann Jóhannsson
The BFG - John Williams
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar! - Carter Burwell
Jackie - Mica Levi
Kubo and the Two Strings - Dario Marianelli
*La La Land - Justin Hurwitz*
The Light Between Oceans - Alexandre Desplat
Lion - Dustin O'Halloran and Hauschka
Loving or Midnight Special - David Wingo
Moonlight - Nicholas Britell
Passengers - Thomas Newman
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - Michael Giacchino
Silence - Howard Shore
Star Trek Beyond - Michael Giacchino
Suicide Squad - Steven Price

Music (Original Song)
Hidden Figures - "Runnin"
Jim: The James Foley Story - "The Empty Chair" Music and Lyric by J. Ralph and Sting
La La Land - "Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
La La Land - "City of Stars" Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
Lion - "Never Give Up"
Loving - "Loving"
*Moana - "How Far I'll Go" Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda*
Sing - "Faith"
Swiss Army Man - "Montage"
Trolls - "Can't Stop The Feeling" Music and Lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin and Karl Johan Schuster

Sound Mixing
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Mac Ruth
Alice Through the Looking Glass - John Midgley, David Parker, Michael Semanick
Allied
Arrival - Bernard Gariépy Strobl and Claude La Haye
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice - Nerses Gezalyan, Michael Keller
Captain America: Civil War - Tom Johnson, Juan Peralta
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Simon Hayes
Hacksaw Ridge - Kevin O'Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie and Peter Grace
Independence Day: Resurgence - Paul N.J. Ottosson
The Jungle Book - Christopher Boyes, Lora Hirschberg, Ron Judkins
La La Land - Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee and Steve A. Morrow
Passengers
*Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson*
Silence - Tom Fleischman
Star Trek Beyond - Frank A. Montaño, Jon Taylor
Sully
X-Men: Apocalypse - Ron Bartlett, Doug Hemphill, Paul Massey

Sound Editing
Allied
Arrival - Sylvain Bellemare
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice - Sott Hecker
Captain America: Civil War - Daniel Laurie, Shannon Mills
Deepwater Horizon - Wylie Stateman and Renée Tondelli
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Glenn Fremantle
*Hacksaw Ridge - Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright*
Independence Day: Resurgence - Paul N.J. Ottosson
Jason Bourne - Oliver Tarney
The Jungle Book - Frank E. Eulner
La La Land - Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan
Passengers
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - Matthew Wood
Silence - Philip Stockton
Star Trek Beyond - Peter Brown
Sully - Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman
X-Men: Apocalypse - Craig Berkey, John A. Larsen

Visual Effects
Alice Through the Looking Glass - Ken Ralston
Arrival
The BFG
Assassin's Creed
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice - Joe Letteri
Captain America: Civil War - Russell Earl
Deadpool
Deepwater Horizon - Craig Hammack, Jason Snell, Jason Billington and Burt Dalton
Doctor Strange - Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli and Paul Corbould
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Tim Burke, Christian Manz
Ghostbusters
Independence Day: Resurgence - Volker Engel
The Jungle Book - Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Dan Lemmon
Kubo and the Two Strings - Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean and Brad Schiff
Midnight Special
Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children
Passengers
*Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel and Neil Corbould*
Star Trek Beyond
Suicide Squad
Sully - Michael Owens
Warcraft
X-Men: Apocalypse - Anders Langlands

Animated Feature Film
Finding Dory
Ice Age: Collision Course
Kubo and the Two Strings
Kung Fu Panda 3
The Little Prince
*Moana*
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
The Secret Life of Pets
Sing
Zootopia

Documentary Feature Film
*13th*
Cameraperson
Command and Control
The Eagle Huntress
Fire at Sea
Gleason
Hooligan Sparrow
I Am Not Your Negro
The Ivory Game
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America
Tower
Weiner
The Witness
Zero Days

Foreign Language Film
Afghanistan - Raftan, director: Navid Mahmoudi
Albania - Chromium, director: Bujar Alimani
Algeria - The Well, director: Lotfi Bouchouchi
Argentina - The Distinguished Citizen, directors: Mariano Cohn and Gastón Duprat
Armenia - Earthquake, director: Sarik Andreasyan
Australia - Tanna, directors: Bentley Dean, Martin Butler
Austria - Stefan Zweig: Farewell to Europe, director: Maria Schrader
Bangladesh - The Unnamed, director: Tauquir Ahmed
Belgium - The Ardennes, director: Robin Pront
Bolivia - Sealed Cargo, director: Julia Vargas Weise
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Death in Sarajevo, director: Danis Tanovic
Brazil - Little Secret, director: David Schurmann
Bulgaria - Losers, director: Ivaylo Hristov
Cambodia - Before the Fall, director: Ian White
Canada - It's Only the End of the World, director: Xavier Dolan
Chile - Neruda, director: Pablo Larraín
China - Xuan Zang, director: Huo Jianqi
Colombia - Alias Maria, director: Jose Luis Rugeles
Costa Rica - About Us, director: Hernán Jiménez
Croatia - On the Other Side, director: Zrinko Ogresta
Cuba - The Companion, director: Pavel Giroud
Czech Republic - Lost in Munich, director: Petr Zelenka
Denmark - Land of Mine, director: Martin Zandvliet
Dominican Republic - Sugar Fields, director: Fernando Báez
Ecuador - Such Is Life in the Tropics, director: Sebastián Cordero
Egypt - Clash, director: Mohamed Diab
Estonia - Mother, director: Kadri Kousaar
Finland - The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Maki, director: Juho Kuosmanen
France - Elle, director: Paul Verhoeven
Georgia - House of Others, director: Rusudan Glurjidze
*Germany - Toni Erdmann, director: Maren Ade*
Greece - Chevalier, director: Athina Rachel Tsangari
Hong Kong - Port of Call, director: Philip Yung
Hungary - Kills on Wheels, director: Attila Till
Iceland - Sparrows, director: Rúnar Rúnarsson
India - Interrogation, director: Vetrimaran
Indonesia - Letters from Prague, director: Angga Dwimas Sasongko
Iran - The Salesman, director: Asghar Farhadi
Iraq - El Clásico, director: Halkawt Mustafa
Israel - Sand Storm, director: Elite Zexer
Italy - Fire at Sea, director: Gianfranco Rosi
Japan - Nagasaki: Memories of My Son, director: Yoji Yamada
Jordan - 3000 Nights, director: Mai Masra
Kazakhstan - Amanat, director: Satybaldy Narymbetov
Kosovo - Home Sweet Home, director: Faton Bajraktari
Kyrgyzstan - A Father’s Will, directors: Bakyt Mukul and Dastan Zhapar Uulu
Latvia - Dawn, director: Laila Pakalnina
Lebanon - Very Big Shot, director: Mir-Jean Bou Chaaya
Lithuania - Seneca's Day, director: Kristijonas Vildzuinas
Luxembourg - Voices from Chernobyl, director: Pol Cruchten
Macedonia - The Liberation of Skopje, directors: Rade and Danilo Serbedzija
Malaysia - Beautiful Pain, director: Tunku Mona Riza
Mexico - Desierto, director: Jonas Cuaron
Montenegro - The Black Pin, director: Ivan Marinovic
Morocco - A Mile in My Shoes, director: Said Khallaf
Nepal - The Black Hen, director: Min Bahadur Bham
The Netherlands - Tonio, director: Paula van der Oest
New Zealand - A Flickering Truth, director: Pietra Bretkelly
Norway - The King’s Choice, director: Erik Poppe
Pakistan - Mah-e-Mir, director: Anjum Shahzad
Palestine - The Idol, director: Hany Abu-Assad
Panama - Salsipuedes, directors: Ricardo Aguilar Navarro, Manolito Rodríguez
Peru - Videophilia (and Other Viral Syndromes), director: Juan Daniel F. Molero
Philippines - Ma’ Rosa, director: Brillante Ma Mendoza
Poland - Afterimage, director: Andrzej Wajda
Portugal - Letters from War, director: Ivo M. Ferreira
Romania - Sieranevada, director: Cristi Puiu
Russia - Paradise, director: Andrei Konchalovsky
Saudi Arabia - Barakah Meets Barakah, director: Mahmoud Sabbagh
Serbia - Train Driver's Diary, director: Miloš Radović
Singapore - Apprentice, director: Boo Junfeng
Slovakia - Eva Nová, director: Marko Skop
Slovenia - Houston, We Have a Problem!, director: Ziga Virc
South Africa - Call Me Thief, director: Daryne Joshua
South Korea - The Age of Shadows, director: Kim Ji-woon
Spain - Julieta, director: Pedro Almodovar
Sweden - A Man Called Ove, director: Hannes Holm
Switzerland - My Life As a Zucchini, director: Claude Barras
Taiwan - Hang in There, Kids!, director: Laha Mebow
Thailand - Karma, director: Kanittha Kwunyoo
Tunisia - The Flower of Aleppo, director: Ridha Behi
Turkey - Cold of Kalandar, director: Mustafa Kara
Ukraine - Ukrainian Sheriffs, director: Roman Bondarchuk
United Kingdom - Under the Shadow, director: Babak Anvari
Uruguay - Breadcrumbs, director: Manane Rodríguez
Venezuela - From Afar, director: Lorenzo Vigas
Vietnam - Yellow Flowers on the Green Grass, director: Victor Vu
Yemen - I Am Nojoom, Age 10 and Divorced, director: Khadija Al-Salami

Live-Action Short Film
Bon Voyage, director: Marc Wilkins
Ennemis Intérieurs, director: Sélim Azzazi
Graffiti, director: Lluis Quilez
La Femme et le TGV, director: Timo von Gunten
Nocturne in Black, director: Jimmy Keyrouz
The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf and the Boy, director: Oualid Mouaness
Silent Nights, director: Aske Bang
Sing (Mindenki), director: Kristof Deák
Timecode, director: Juanjo Giménez
The Way of Tea (Les Frémissements du Thé), director: Marc Fouchard

Animated Short Film
Blind Vaysha, director: Theodore Ushev
Borrowed Time, directors: Andrew Coats and Lou Hamou-Lhadj
Happy End, director: Jan Saska
The Head Vanishes, director: Franck Dion
Inner Workings, director: Leo Matsuda
Once Upon a Line, director: Alicja Jasina
Pear Cider and Cigarettes, director: Robert Valley
Pearl, director: Patrick Osborne
*Piper, director: Alan Barillaro*
Sous Tes Doigts (Under Your Fingers), director: Marie-Christine Courtès

Documentary Short Film
4.1 Miles
Brillo Box (3¢ Off)
Close Ties
Extremis
Frame 394
Joe's Violin
The Mute's House
The Other Side of Home
Watani: My Homeland
*The White Helmets*